"I learned in college statistics many years ago that given enough monkeys in this type situation, one of them could write one of Shakespeare's plays. Having taught at the college level, I discovered that given enough high school students in a situation like this, the chances that every one of them would write gibberish approaches 100%." (highlighting added)By the time that individual enrolled in a college-level course in Statistics, he or she had almost certainly been subjected, during the most formative years of life, to a decade or so of indoctrination related to theories of Evolution. So, when the Statistics professor said that "given enough monkeys [and enough time], one of them could write one of Shakespeare's plays" ~ not consciously, of course, but purely by random chance: the other dolt (the person who wrote the above comment) believed such nonsense.
The shortest of Shakespeare's plays (The Comedy of Errors) contains more than 16,000 words (link). The odds that a certain four-letter word can appear within a string of 8 random letters, is 0.00001 (1 in 100,000) (link). I don't know how it would even be possible to calculate the odds of producing a 16,000-word document ~ which would exactly reproduce Shakespeare's The Comedy of Errors. Every word ~ including spacing between words ~ would have to occur in precisely the right order in the text. A single error would disqualify the entire effort.
But even if it were possible to produce a valid mathematical formula for calculating the odds of the problem as above stated, such a formula would not be capable of taking into account the fact that it were not machines generating random letters and spaces, but monkeys. Monkeys have personalities and idiosyncrasies. Try typing a series of 8 random letters, and you will discover that you will unconsciously produce a lot of somewhat similar results, because you will unconsciously approximate a similar pattern, in the process of tying.
The idea that a kazillion monkeys, each with a computer, given a quadrillion years, could randomly reproduce The Comedy of Errors, is itself a comedy involving the grossest kind of error. Not insignificant, the life expectancy of monkeys is between 20-40 years ~ which means that the incomprehensibly large tally of random words produced by a given set of a kazillion monkeys, would have to start from scratch every 40 years or so.
Nevertheless, the college Statistics professor evidently believed that the stated example were actually possible. And at least one student ~ who also became a college professor ~ believed it, too.
I noted, though, an interesting and important observation, in the comments which were posted by that college professor; where he wrote:
"Having taught at the college level, I discovered that given enough high school students in a situation like this, the chances that every one of them would write gibberish approaches 100%."Hmm. That remark, although I'm sure it was meant to be humorous, yet it must have something to do with that professor's actual experience. It says a lot not only about the inferior quality of education amongst older teenagers (in America?). More important, it says something about factors (human, in this case) which reveal tremendous obstacles to the use of Statistics to predict what may or may not be possible, at least, in circumstances such as we have herein considered.
One set of human chromosomes contains about 3,000,000,000 base pairs (the equivalent of 6 Billion molecular 'words' ~ all arranged in precise order). Compare that with the above example involving a mere 16 Thousand words. I need not elaborate further upon the implications of that comparison.
My point, however, is to illustrate the intellectual and moral perversion of so-called higher education, in America. I think it is safe to say, that by far the majority of social institutions in America require that candidates for leadership positions must have some kind of college degree. I briefly addressed that issue, in part 1 of this series.
Unbelievers, willing by all means somehow to refute the existence of God, rely ENTIRELY upon the notion that, given enough time, random occurrences are capable to produce everything that comprises the known Universe. Statistics, in other words, is their god.
The atom is a complex system, within a larger and far more complex molecular system ~ within a still larger and vastly more complex cellular system ~ within an even larger and still more complex organ system (e.g., brain) ~ within a yet larger and almost infinitely more complex biological system (human being) ~ within a tremendously larger and unspeakably more complex ecological system ~ within the still vastly larger and mind-boggling-ly (say that five times fast) complex global system ~ within the solar system ~ within the galactic system ~ within the Universe, which is a system of infinite size and complexity.
Although, I'm sure I've oversimplified the whole thing somewhat. The totality of complexity and order amongst the infinite parts of Creation, m-a-s-s-i-v-e-l-y testifies to the reality of God's existence. But most of America's leaders don't have enough good sense to understand that much. Instead, they willfully reject such knowledge ~ because, they hate the very idea of God. For, they love their sin, and they detest to believe in a Day of Judgment.
It is no wonder that the world is in the shape that it's in.
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But what about the Church? No, I don't mean the 'visible' Church which is really no different from the world. But what about that Church which is the Body of Christ? How do the members of that spiritual Body view the broad question of "leadership," within and to the Body of Christ? Not very wisely in most cases, methinks.
In America, I see that God is working to redeem a "chosen generation," a believing Remnant, from the stranglehold of the Apostasy. The "church-world" out of which that Remnant has come (and some are still coming out), was and is a mess ~ and it is rapidly getting worse. In the process of what I will call the Exodus from Babylon, the believing Remnant has returned only to find that our "Jerusalem," metaphorically speaking, is in shambles, having been ransacked by the enemy. In fact, the spiritual foundations and walls of the historical Church, which our Godly forefathers and foremothers cherished and nurtured, were long ago neglected and ultimately forsaken by their careless and worldly children ~ who eventually were led captive to spiritual Babylon. The vast majority of those wayward children, as well as their children, still remain in Babylon; who will die there, if they refuse to come out of Babylon.
Meanwhile, the returning Remnant ~ just as in the days of Ezra and, especially, of Nehemiah, are faced with the critically important (and seemingly monumental) task of rebuilding the walls and gates of Jerusalem (the true Church). We must have Godly leadership for that task. It seems to me, though, that the Remnant ~ having been so long time in Babylon, has forgotten how to pray and seek God for all that is necessary to the rebuilding of Jerusalem, including, most importantly, the need of Godly leadership. But our God is a God of order. It has ever been the Lord's way, first to raise up, and then to provide to His Church, Godly leaders, according to His will.
I highly recommend that you should read the book of Nehemiah. For, in my next essay in this series, by God's help I will correlate the lessons of that book to the present condition of the Body of Christ in America.
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